Gold Nears Record Highs as Cooling Jobs Data Boost Fed Cut Bets

Gold rises near record highs as cooling US labour market reinforces bets on Fed rate cut.

Ella Huang Ella Huang

Gold prices rose in Asian trading on Friday, holding just below record highs before giving back some gains, as a softer US labour market reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week.

Spot gold traded at $3,641.11 per ounce by 10:00 GMT.

The yellow metal is on track for a fourth consecutive weekly rise and has gained nearly 40% year-to-date. While US consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, lifting annual inflation to 2.9%, the highest in seven months, labour data pointed to weakness, with weekly jobless claims hitting a near four-year high and payroll growth slowing.

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Markets have become increasingly confident of imminent policy easing following weaker-than-expected producer price data and large revisions to jobs figures. CME FedWatch indicates nearly a full probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the September 16–17 Fed meeting, with some traders even pricing in a larger easing move.

Supportive factors for gold include a softer dollar, falling US Treasury yields, ongoing central bank buying, and safe-haven demand amid trade uncertainty linked to President Trump’s tariff policies.